Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#133
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#149
Pace67.2#247
Improvement+2.3#86

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#62
First Shot+5.2#45
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#205
Layup/Dunks+1.3#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#36
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+3.2#36

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#242
First Shot-1.9#229
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks-3.4#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#250
Freethrows+1.8#59
Improvement-1.0#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 146   @ Weber St. W 73-70 43%     1 - 0 +6.9 +6.7 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2015 282   Utah Valley W 81-55 88%     2 - 0 +15.2 +1.0 +13.9
  Nov 29, 2015 17   @ Duke L 52-85 7%     2 - 1 -14.4 -15.1 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2015 221   @ Missouri St. W 69-68 61%     3 - 1 +0.4 -2.7 +3.0
  Dec 09, 2015 50   @ BYU L 68-80 15%     3 - 2 +1.3 -6.1 +8.7
  Dec 12, 2015 98   UC Irvine L 63-73 48%     3 - 3 -7.3 -0.9 -7.4
  Dec 21, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 94-69 96%     4 - 3 +6.1 +11.5 -5.3
  Dec 22, 2015 276   Idaho St. W 69-58 88%     5 - 3 +0.7 -3.3 +4.8
  Dec 23, 2015 158   North Dakota St. W 76-62 68%     6 - 3 +11.5 +7.1 +4.9
  Dec 30, 2015 248   @ San Jose St. W 80-71 66%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +6.9 +12.3 -5.1
  Jan 02, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 67-70 33%     7 - 4 1 - 1 +3.8 +5.6 -1.8
  Jan 05, 2016 94   Boise St. L 61-76 47%     7 - 5 1 - 2 -12.1 -7.8 -4.9
  Jan 09, 2016 116   @ New Mexico L 59-77 35%     7 - 6 1 - 3 -11.9 -13.5 +2.0
  Jan 12, 2016 237   Air Force W 79-60 82%     8 - 6 2 - 3 +11.5 +4.2 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. W 96-92 42%     9 - 6 3 - 3 +8.3 +19.5 -11.3
  Jan 19, 2016 115   UNLV L 68-80 57%     9 - 7 3 - 4 -11.5 -7.6 -3.0
  Jan 23, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. L 55-70 16%     9 - 8 3 - 5 -2.3 -1.6 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2016 141   Nevada L 84-89 63%     9 - 9 3 - 6 -6.2 +13.5 -19.5
  Feb 02, 2016 94   @ Boise St. L 67-70 26%     9 - 10 3 - 7 +5.8 +0.2 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2016 164   @ Wyoming L 65-84 49%     9 - 11 3 - 8 -16.4 -0.1 -19.0
  Feb 09, 2016 116   New Mexico W 80-72 58%     10 - 11 4 - 8 +8.3 +8.3 +0.2
  Feb 17, 2016 142   Colorado St. W 72-59 64%     11 - 11 5 - 8 +11.5 -1.2 +13.5
  Feb 20, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. L 68-75 29%     11 - 12 5 - 9 +1.0 +0.3 +0.7
  Feb 24, 2016 141   @ Nevada L 68-73 41%     11 - 13 5 - 10 -0.3 +2.8 -3.1
  Feb 27, 2016 248   San Jose St. W 88-70 83%     12 - 13 6 - 10 +10.0 +5.9 +2.4
  Mar 01, 2016 237   @ Air Force W 78-65 65%     13 - 13 7 - 10 +11.3 +12.3 +0.0
  Mar 05, 2016 102   Fresno St. L 85-86 50%     13 - 14 7 - 11 +1.2 +7.8 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2016 164   Wyoming W 88-70 60%     14 - 14 +17.7 +13.2 +4.6
  Mar 10, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 65-71 24%     14 - 15 +3.8 +8.0 -4.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%